Ready Set Pwn

Ready Set Pwn – A Vancouver Titans Overwatch League Podcast

Overwatch League, Vancouver Titans

New York Excelsior: A Playoff Primer

RSP - Map Analysis

The NYXL have benefited from their easy schedule this year and only 4 of 12 playoff teams came from the Eastern Division. On paper, their regular season was about as successful as the Shock and Titans, but how much of that success came from the backs of beating up sub-par teams? While the NYXL have a lot of talent on their roster, they haven’t been able to get the job done in the postseason this year.

According to this article on over.gg, the NYXL had the easiest schedule in the league and the third easiest when including playoff matches. While the Titans did have the 7th easiest raw strength of schedule, they fall to 3rd hardest with playoff matches. The Overwatch League even put out their own graphic on the subject.

NYXLWins over EastWins over WestLosses over EastLosses over West
Stage 14300
Stage 24120
Stage 36100
Stage 42104
Stage Playoffs0103
Season Playoffs2000

To get the specifics, I broke down each stage, each stage playoffs and what we’ve seen in the season playoffs so far. There isn’t a single stage where the New York Excelsior won more games against a Western Team than an Eastern Team. They also managed to lose twice the amount of games against Western Teams than Eastern Teams, while facing Eastern Teams twice as much. To put it into perspective, the only team from the East that beat the NYXL this year is the Atlanta Reign, and it happened twice in Stage 2. By comparison, in stage 4, the Excelsior lost to the Gladiators, the Charge, the Titans, and the Hunters. New York’s sad showing could be sandbagging, or they took some time to get used to the new 2-2-2 meta, but they didn’t even look very good in any of their matches.

When you add their playoff matches into the mix, they come out with an even record of 3W 3L. Their wins came over two teams from the Atlantic division and a 3-0 sweep of the Gladiators, a team who didn’t have a good grasp of the meta. The NYXL got embarrassed by the Western Teams they lost to, two crushing upsets and a close match against the Titans. You may have missed it, but if you check above, the teams that NYXL managed to beat in the season playoffs were #2 and #3 in easiest schedule. The Philadelphia Fusion also had the 4th easiest schedule among teams, and they are the 4th Eastern Team to make the playoffs. The Titans beat a team in a three-way tie for 4th and 7th hardest. Scrubasaurus’ article on over.gg backs that up too. He has the Spitfire as the 3rd easiest and the Reign at 6th easiest. Adjusted strength of schedule, including the playoffs, puts the Spitfire at 2nd easiest and the Reign at 8th easiest. An interesting outlier, Scrubasaurus has the Gladiators as the 3rd easiest.

Based on the opponent strength of schedule metric that the Overwatch League used, the 4 Atlantic teams to make the playoffs had the 1st, 2nd, 3rd, and 4th easiest schedules in the league. Now compare this to the schedule difficulty of the 8 Pacific teams who made the top 12: #3 (Dragons), #4T (Hunters), #4T (Charge), #4T (Dynasty), #7 (Gladiators), #8 (Spark), #9 (Shock), #10 (Titans). Is it just a coincidence that the 8 Western teams to make the top 12 had the 3rd, 4thx3, 7th, 8th, 9th, and 10th hardest schedules while the 4 East teams had the 17th, 18th, 19th, and 20th hardest?

Titans RecordTitans W%XL RecordXL W%
Control2nd73%3rd
Busan8-373%6-367%
Ilios11-379%8-373%
Lijiang Tower9-282%4-640%

Round one will start on Lijiang Tower guaranteed. The Titans dominated the Gladiators on Control and they hadn’t won on Lijiang Tower in four months. The NYXL record on Lijiang is abysmal as well, 1-4 over the last 3 months.

Titans RecordTitans W%XL RecordXL W%
Hybrid1st81%2nd
King’s Row11-192%6-367%
Eichenwalde6-186%5-0100%
Numbani6-186%5-363%

NYXL hasn’t lost a control map yet this post-season, against both London and Atlanta, they’ve picked Busan and won. There isn’t a ton of info here, but with a perfect score on Eichenwalde this year, it’s tough to bet against that. Both teams have great records on Eichenwalde, so the real goal for the Titans is to last long enough for their opponents to use up their best maps. If this goes to 6, that’s where we will see the Titans’ advantage open up on King’s Row or Numbani. Much like what we saw when they played the Dynasty and the Gladiators, their strength comes with patience.

Titans RecordTitans W%XL RecordXL W%
Assault4th68%4th60%
Hanamura4-180%4-2-164%
Temple of Anubis10-377%5-456%
Horizon: Lunar Colony3-260%3-1-170%

If New York takes Eichenwalde then the Titans will pick Temple of Anubis. They dumpstered the Dynasty on Anubis and the NYXL aren’t particularly good there with only one win in the last 3 months. Unless there’s a tie, they will only play one Assault map, but having Hanamura in their back pocket will be a benefit if the game goes long.

Titans RecordTitans W%XL RecordXL W%
Escort3rd69%1st67%
Rialto5-363%5-271%
Dorado4-180%2-340%
Watchpoint: Gibraltar6-186%4-267%

The NYXL aren’t very good on Dorado, which means it could be the game 7 deciding map. If the Titans do pick Temple of Anubis and dominate on it, like we’ve seen them do this year, then the Excelsior will likely pick Rialto or Watchpoint: Gibraltar. New York is far better on those two maps, but the Titans own the world record on both of them. Escort is the Excelsior’s best game mode, but not having either of Junkertown (5-0) or Havana (4-1) in the pool is a disaster for them.

The Titans do look favored again because of their beneficial map pool, but NYXL is a skilled team. This match will come down to the clutch factor. With two quicker games this post-season (a 4-1 and 4-2 win), the NYXL will have to win on not only their best maps, but their worst maps. Neither of the opponents they’ve faced so far have had a map pool so tilted in their opponents favor. This will be a close match, but it’s exactly the kind of preparation the Titans need if they expect to win in Philadelphia’s Grand Finals.

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